LUBBOCK, Texas (KCBD) - Last night brought rounds of heavy rainfall and lots of lightning. As of 10 a.m. Saturday, roughly 800 LP&L customers had an outage, down from more than 7,000 after Midnight. Updated info link here.

Even across Lubbock, there was a pretty wide range of rainfall. The Lubbock airport received just over 1/3'' of rain, while 3.05'' was measured at the Texas Tech Mesonet site off the East Loop.

Other totals around Lubbock on the Tech Mesonet: 2.64'' LCU, 2.43'' SE Lubbock at South Plains Food Bank, 1.7'' west central Lubbock, 1.46'' south Lubbock at All Saints. Farther outside the city: 2.84'' New Home, 1.78'' Wolfforth, 1.57'' Slaton, 1.18'' Reese Center, 0.48'' New DEal, 0.4'' Shallowater.

John is at the Watermelon Round-Up. He said there was some flooding reported around Plains and Seminole last night.

Below is a radar estimate map, which shows 2'' to 3'' in the orange. Keep in mind these are just estimates where the specific dot is. But we have pretty widespread measured totals of 1'' to 2'' over the southern half of the area, with some higher totals, including 2.57'' Denver City, 2.24'' Plains, 2.12'' Lake Alan Henry. Totals were lower to the north, especially Plainview to Matador.

So much rain fell, so quickly and for so long, that it led the fork of the Brazos River to climb to flood stage. This is what flows into Buffalo Springs Lake. This NOAA link shows it climbed to 13.36 feet around 2 a.m. 11 feet is minor flood level. It is back down around 10 feet as of 9:30 a.m.

Looking ahead

All the stormy weather last night used up a lot of energy, leaving the atmosphere a bit more stable this morning. It will probably feel muggy today, especially when there's sun, with the high in the mid to upper 80s. The dew point in the upper 60s show there's a lot of humidity in the air. Light easterly wind through the day.

The forecast is a bit more iffy/less certain now, since we did have that big complex roll through. We'll keep a low chance for a shower or thunderstorm through the afternoon. Most of the computer models this morning show no storms or maybe an isolated storm through the afternoon.

The forecast is also less certain on when storms will next move in. Past few days, there was pretty good certainty on storms by tonight. But there is less agreement in the computers, probably because of uncertainty on just when the atmosphere will recover for more storm development. There isn't a clear-cut trigger to get storms going.

At this point, we will keep a chance for a storm by early evening, with the chance increasing the later it gets. By late tonight into early Sunday morning, storms are likely.

Here is one of the rapid-update computer models, showing this:

This is "guidance". A computer model won't depict exactly where an isolated storm will form every time. This model showing an isolated storm near Lubbock at 9 p.m. could be a sign of a storm here, or it might be over Littlefield or Post. For the Tech game, the better sign I'm seeing is computers aren't showing widespread storms area-wide.

Also, where storms develop today, they could become strong to severe, with 1'' hail and 60mph gusts. The Storm Prediction Center has a level 1 out of 5 risk for severe weather, shown in green below:

While there could be a few strong storms, to greater threat from thunderstorms tonight is localized flooding. This map highlights the risk areas for excessive rainfall, a level 2 of 4 risk across much of West Texas, in yellow:

Texas Tech forecast

It'd be a good idea to bring a poncho to the game. No umbrellas.

The Red Raider Outfitter Game Day Forecast: muggy and warm, high in the mid to upper 80s mid-afternoon. Slight chance for a storm during the afternoon.

Chance for a thunderstorm at the start of the game, storm chance higher by 10 p.m.

Sunday again brings a chance for rain and thunderstorms, possibly some heavy rain. High in the mid 80s. More sunshine on Labor Day, high upper 80s.

Sunny days through middle of next week, high upper 80s...which is typical for this time of year.

Check back here for updates. And if you don't have it, download the free KCBD First Alert Weather App. Not only will it give you alerts for your specific location, you can enable notifications for when lightning is near. And the interactive radar is handy for watching where storms are.